San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction & Preview For NBA Finals Game 4 - 6/10/2026
Updated July 30, 2026
Game 4 of the NBA Finals is set for Wednesday night in New York City. After dropping the first two games at home, San Antonio responded with a 115-111 victory at Madison Square Garden in Game 3 to cut New York's series lead to 2-1. Victor Wembanyama delivered a superstar performance with 32 points, eight rebounds, six assists, and three blocks, while Jalen Brunson answered with 32 points of his own. The result snapped New York's 13-game playoff winning streak and shifted the pressure back onto the Knicks ahead of a huge contest on Wednesday night.
Oddsmakers expect another tight game. New York opened as a slight favorite at around 1.5 points, reflecting how competitive the first three games have been. Two of the first three contests were decided by a single possession, and Game 3 was tied deep into the fourth quarter before San Antonio made the key plays late.
San Antonio finally solved several issues that plagued it during the opening two games. Wembanyama was more aggressive, Stephon Castle added 23 points, and the Spurs won the free-throw battle decisively. Even so, New York still had opportunities to steal Game 3 despite receiving only 11 points from Karl-Anthony Towns.
The Knicks remain in a favorable position because of their depth, home court, and the consistency of Brunson. New York has shown throughout the postseason that it can recover quickly from defeats. With the Garden crowd behind them and the chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead, expect a sharper effort from Mike Brown's club. Wembanyama should post another huge stat line, but the Knicks have more reliable scoring options around their star guard. A close game is likely, but New York is the side to back.
Three-Leg Same Game Parlay
Parlay Odds: +445
The stars have carried this series. Brunson scored 32 points in Game 3 and continues to be the focal point of the New York offense. Wembanyama is averaging 29 points in the Finals and is coming off his best game of the series. Pairing both scoring overs with a Knicks victory creates a logical correlation if New York bounces back at home while the two franchise players dominate usage.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds +105
Towns has been a major factor on the glass throughout the postseason and averages more than 10 rebounds per game this series. After being held relatively quiet offensively in Game 3, New York is likely to emphasize his involvement. With both teams playing a physical style and every possession carrying extra value, rebound opportunities should remain plentiful.
Category (Playoffs) | San Antonio Spurs | New York Knicks |
|---|---|---|
Offensive Rating | 113.9 | 121.2 |
Defensive Rating | 104.6 | 103.1 |
Net Rating | 9.3 | 18.1 |
Pace | 99.04 | 96.81 |
Effective FG % | 53.7% | 57.8% |
Rebound % | 51.0% | 54.3% |
Game 4 feels like the turning point of the series. A Knicks victory would put New York one win from its first championship in more than five decades. A Spurs win would send the Finals back to Texas tied at two games apiece and completely reset the race for the title.
San Antonio has the best individual player in the series right now in Wembanyama, but New York continues to have the stronger collection of proven playoff contributors. Brunson, Towns, OG Anunoby, and Mikal Bridges give the Knicks multiple ways to win, and that depth becomes increasingly important as the series progresses.
Expect another physical, tightly contested battle. The Spurs have shown they can compete on the road, but New York's urgency after the Game 3 defeat should be enough to produce a response. My recommendation is to lay the small number and back the Knicks to protect home court and move within one victory of an NBA championship.
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